NFL

NFL Week 11 Pick 6

3-3 last week, no damage done but didn’t make up any ground either.

Now to the picks…

This week’s Pick 6 features a favorite, 2 underdogs & 3 totals.

YTD Record: 26-33-1

Pick #1
PITT-CLE OVER 41

Mr. Thursday Night needs a win. 6-4, should have been 7-3!!! But I digress…AFC North matchup here & I think we see some offense. I know the Pittsburgh defense has bottled up their opponents recently & the total doesn’t make the most sense but they have the ability to score themselves with their secondary. For the Browns, I think they will be able to do their part & get to 17-24 points, that leaves a Steelers offense to do that same. I like the OVER on TNF.

Pick #2
HOU +4.5 @ BALT
I think everyone knew I was picking this game this way. I need Deshaun Watson & the rest of the Texans to go into Baltimore & walk out with a W. Take the 4.5 but also give a little sprinkle on the moneyline. I think the Texans are the play here, coming off a bye with some more time to prepare for Lamar Jackson in Greg Roman’s offense.

Pick #3
MIA +6 vs. BUF
No sprinkle here but I think the Dolphins keep it close against the Bills. Miami had a lead into the 2nd half in this matchup in Buffalo a few weeks ago & that was before that ripped off two wins in a row. I think Dolphins keep it within a TD for a nice underdog cover.

Pick #4
NO-5 @ TB
I’m riding New Orleans here to bounce back & hammer a bad Tampa Bay team. I think the Saints will take out all of their frustrations from last week’s loss to the Falcons on Jameis Winston & the rest of the Buccaneers. Drew Brees will light up the Tampa defense & I expect the Saints defense to turn Winston over multiple times.

Pick #5
ARI-SF OVER 45
I gave this out as a winner on Halloween Night a couple Thursdays ago. I know San Francisco is coming off an emotional loss to the Seattle on Monday Night Football but I expect them to bounce back and score against a Cardinals team that will find some way to get some points on the board. Little lower than the last time these two teams met, still think we go OVER.

Pick #6
CIN-OAK UNDER 49
This might be a little unconventional but I think this game is 24-7, 31-10 but not 49-14. So I’m trying to thread the needle in which I think will be a convincing Raiders win. Cincinnati has gotten “blown out” but their games really only go over when their opponent hangs 40+. I think the total stays UNDER 49.

Check out the rest of the Picks!

Good luck!

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